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Strong Storms Possible Tonight

Real-time Observation for Bowling Green, Ky:

Find more about Weather in Bowling Green, KY

Real-time Regional Radar:

This evening 4/24 – Increasing clouds / Tonight – Thunderstorms likely – Low 57°

4pm 80° – 7pm 77° – 10pm 68° – 12am 66° – 3am 60° – 6am 57°

A cold front is positioned to our west and is moving in our direction. This will increase our rain and thunderstorm chances tonight and early Friday morning. Here’s a sneak peek at what the surface map could look like at Midnight tonight.

Forecast Surface Map - Valid Midnight Tonight - Gibson Ridge Software

Forecast Surface Map – Valid Midnight Tonight – Gibson Ridge Software

Although the cold front will be along the Mississippi River, there will likely be widespread precipitation out ahead of it. The precipitation will be in the form of rain and thunderstorms. Here’s what the Hi-Res NAM Simulated Reflectivity looks like at Midnight.

Hi -Res NAM Simulated Reflectivity - Valid Midnight Tonight - weatherbell.com

Hi -Res NAM Simulated Reflectivity – Valid Midnight Tonight – weatherbell.com

These storms may be strong in nature, with gusty winds in excess of 40mph. Some storms may pulse up to severe limits every once in a while, however, widespread severe weather is not anticipated.

The Storm Prediction Center has placed Bowling Green on the fringe of an enhanced risk of severe weather tonight. You will have a 15% probability of seeing severe weather within 25 miles of you tonight:

Screen Shot 2014-04-24 at 11.36.01 AM

However, I do have some good news… Friday’s not Lost!

weknowmemes.com

weknowmemes.com

Friday – Clearing after Morning; High 77˚ / Friday Night – Clear; Low 51°

The cold front will depart from the region Friday morning. High pressure will move into the region behind the exiting cold front, giving us improving conditions. Cloudy skies should gradually clear out and temperatures will warm nicely into the upper 70s.

Saturday- Beautiful Weather; Mostly Clear; High 79° / Sat Night – Partly Cloudy; Low 54°

We’ll have an enjoyable Saturday as well. Beautiful weather is in store with mostly clear conditions allowing for highs near 80°. We’ll see a little increase in clouds as our next weather maker forms in the Plains. Our next shot at rain and thunderstorms will be on Sunday and Sunday night. Some strong to severe storms cannot be ruled out for Monday, but stay tuned.

To keep up with the latest weather in Bowling Green, be sure to follow @WxOrNotBG and @WarrenCountyWX on twitter. Thanks for the read, and have a great evening.

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Increasing Clouds; Storm Potential Tonight

Real-time Observation for Bowling Green, Ky:

Find more about Weather in Bowling Green, KY

Real-time Regional Radar:

Today 4/24 – Partly Sunny; Increasing Clouds – High 80˚ / Tonight – Showers & Storms Likely – Low 55˚

6am 45˚ – 9am 60˚ – 12pm 73˚ – 3pm 78˚ – 6pm 77˚ – 9pm 67˚

A cold front will approach from the west today.  This will increase cloud cover as we get into the afternoon.  Here’s a visual of what will be taking place today.

Surface Model Valid 10am

The cold front will slide east across the area tonight, bringing showers & thunderstorms along with it.  The 4km NAM simulated radar model below shows a wet picture closing in from our west at 8pm tonight:

simulated radar activity valid 8pm tonight

Widespread severe weather is not expected.  The latest convective outlook from the SPC say you’ll have a 5% probability of severe winds (≥58mph) occurring within 25 miles of you tonight.

spc outlook severe winds tonight

The latest QPF output suggests total rainfall amounts from this event will range from .50-.1″.  A few localized areas could see more.

QPF forecast through friday evening

Fri – Gradual Clearing – High 78˚ / Fri Night – Clear – Low 50˚

The cold front will exit to our east & take any lingering showers along with it.  It looks like we’ll be dry by dawn.  Expect skies to clear out as we end the work week.  Plenty of sunshine will join highs near 80˚.  Now… that’s worth a happy-dance.

h/t gifbin.com

h/t gifbin.com

Sat – Sunny – High 78˚ / Sat Night – Partly Cloudy – Low 52˚

We’ll keep things nice and calm throughout our Saturday as well.  A mix of sun & clouds will help see temps return to around 80˚.  Our next chance at rain will roll in on Sunday night, with the potential for a few strong storms arriving on Monday.  We’ll be keeping an eye on it.

Stay in touch with @WxOrNotBG & @WarrenCountyWx for the latest real time information regarding our rain chances.  Have a great day, and thanks for reading.

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B-E-A-UTIFUL

Real-time Observation for Bowling Green, Ky:

Find more about Weather in Bowling Green, KY

This Afternoon 4/23 – Beautiful – High 68˚ / Tonight – Clear – Low 42˚

3pm 67˚ – 6pm 62˚ – 9pm 53˚ – 12am 48˚ – 3am 45˚ – 6am 42˚

B-E-A-UTIFUL Bruce Almighty.

h/t imgur.com

Jim Carrey said it best, today’s weather will simply be beautiful. High pressure is keeping our skies clear and temperatures in the upper 60s this afternoon. Light winds from north will help make it feel even better outside, and also keep our low temperature tonight on the chilly side with temperatures dropping into the lower 40s.

Thu – Sunny & Warm – High 80˚ / Thu Night – Rain Likely – Low 57˚

Thursday will start off just like today, but winds will turn to the south tomorrow allowing temperatures to make a run at 80 degrees. An area of low pressure and an associated cold front to our west will make its way east tomorrow spreading clouds over Kentucky by the late afternoon.

As the cold front passes over us overnight on Thursday, it will bring rain and even a few rumbles of thunder. Here is what the latest fun of the 4KM NAM model thinks the radar will look like tomorrow night:

12Z Run of 4KM NAM model showing Simulated Reflectivity from 4pm Thursday through 10 am Friday. (Courtesy: NOAA)

12Z Run of 4KM NAM model showing Simulated Reflectivity from 4pm Thursday through 10 am Friday. (Courtesy: NOAA)

While severe weather is not expected, some of the storms tomorrow night could be on the strong side and the afternoon update from the SPC keeps parts of southern Kentucky west of I-65 in the 5% risk for seeing severe weather within 25 miles of a point tomorrow.

day2outlook

Most of us will just see some plain rain and thunderstorms with the potential to see 0.25″ to 0.5″ of rain.

Fri – AM Showers, PM Sunny Skies – High 75˚ / Fri Night – Partly Cloudy – Low 50˚

Showers will come to an end by mid-morning Friday, and skies will be pretty quick to clear as the cold front scoots to the east. Warmer weather will pick back up where it left off and we’ll see highs in the middle 70s Friday followed by lows around 50 degrees.

The weekend looks warm and pleasant before we see our next chance of rain by Sunday afternoon. Until then, enjoy the great weather over the next few days. As always, for more frequent updates you can follow @WxOrNotBG and @WarrenCountyWX on Twitter. Have a great afternoon.

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