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Real-time Observation for Bowling Green, KY

Doing Weather Differently - @WxOrNotBG
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More rain in the forecast for Bowling Green

Real-time Bowling Green weather radar:

Today – Partly Cloudy; Scat’d showers & storms – High 85˚ / Tonight – Partly Cloudy – Low 68˚

Good Morning! This week has turned out to be rather wet with repetitive storms moving through the area. Almost half an inch of rain was recorded by the Bowling Green Mesonet station yesterday, making a total of 1.5 inches of rain received this week!

NOAA Surface Analysis valid 7am Thursday

We won’t escape from the rain anytime soon. It looks like today will have high chances of scattered showers & storms, due to a weak frontal boundary passing through the region. This front looks to stall out and become somewhat stationary, which will provide hit and miss precipitation for most of the day. Don’t forget your umbrella!

happy animated GIF

via giphy.com

Friday – Mostly Sunny – High 84˚ / Friday Night – Cloudy; Scattered Showers – Low 70˚

NAM Simulated Reflectivity valid 7pm Friday, courtesy weather.cod.edu

Thank goodness it’s almost Friday! Friday looks to be another rinse & repeat forecast consisting of partly sunny skies and scattered showers & storms. Showers will remain possible overnight, as seen in the simulated reflectivity model above.

Expect that dreadful humidity that we all know and love to hang around, as dewpoints will stretch into the mid 70s for some regions. The sun will tempt you to be outdoors, but don’t be embarrassed to stay in and crank that AC.

animal animated GIF

via giphy.com

Saturday – Mostly Cloudy; Possible afternoon storms – High 81/ Saturday Night – Mostly Cloudy; Scattered showers – Low 68

No relief from the rain for Saturday either, unfortunately. Another frontal boundary will pass through the region – this time bringing slightly cooler temperatures with it. High temperatures are expected to be in the low 80s. The highest chance for storms looks to be in the afternoon hours and throughout the night.

With all this rain we’ve been having, you might want to invest in a rowboat to get around Bowling Green. Try your best to stay dry and be sure to check back tomorrow with an update in the forecast!

via giphy.com

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Severe Threat Increasing

Real-time Bowling Green weather radar:

Periods of sunshine has allowed our atmosphere to destabilize, resulting in an increased severe weather threat across the region this afternoon.  The Storm Prediction Center has just issued a mesoscale discussion that includes south central Kentucky, stating that there’s a 60% chance of a severe weather watch being issued over the upcoming hours.  The area of concern is outlined below:

SPC Mesoscale Discussion

SPC Mesoscale Discussion

A parameter we often look at when forecasting the strength of convection is CAPE (think storm energy).  Readings as of 12:45pm over our area sit at ~2,500J/kg, which is more than sufficient to support severe storms…

CAPE Values Valid 12:40 PM - via SPC

CAPE Values Valid 12:40 PM – via SPC

Main threats with any storm that fires in this environment will be damaging winds and hail. Torrential rainfall will also be a concern, with flooding issues not out of the question.  Precipitable water values are amping up over the area, providing plentiful moisture for forcing to work with.

Storms should begin to settle down as we get closer to sunset, with the loss of daytime heating helping to stabilize our conditions.  Until that time comes, please stay weather aware.  We’ll be updating frequently @WxOrNotBG, so stay connected.

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Wednesday Bowling Green Weather Update

Real-time Bowling Green weather radar:

Today, 5/27 – Partly Cloudy/Sunny; Afternoon Showers & Storms – High 84˚ / Tonight – Iso’d Showers & Storms – Low 63˚

Good morning Bowling Green! The wet, muggy weather we’ve seen the last few days is unfortunately going to continue into what Pierce called yesterday a “rinse and repeat” forecast. We’re stuck in a summer pattern with temperatures in the 80s and scattered showers and storms during the afternoon. Okay, that’s all you need to know.

giphy (34)

via giphy.com

But if you really want more, you can surely keep reading… The day should begin mostly dry, with partly cloudy to partly sunny skies. Rain chances will return during the afternoon, as disturbances in the atmosphere allow scattered showers and storms to pop up around the area.

Widespread severe weather is not anticipated, however, a few cells could end up meeting criteria. The biggest concern with any storm that develops will be torrential rainfall, strong winds and hail. It will be very muggy today, and any act of forcing should help fire off convection.

Wednesday 1PM

WPC Surface Map, Valid 1 PM Wednesday, via NOAA

Temperatures should hit the mid-80s as southwesterly winds bring dew points around 70° – That’s muggy right there. These scattered storms will continue into the overnight hours with a low temperature in the low to mid-60s.

Thursday, 5/28 – Partly Sunny; Afternoon Showers & Storms – High 84˚ / Thursday Night – Partly Cloudy – Low 65˚

Thursday looks to be a repeat of today: Hot? Yes. Humid? Yes. Chance for afternoon storms? Yes. The main difference in Thursday’s forecast is that Thursday night looks to be mainly dry in our area, with more isolated activity off to our east.

Temperatures will once again hit the mid-80s during the day, with lows in the mid-60s overnight. I really wish I could say more because I’m starting to feel like a broken record here.

giphy (32)

via giphy.com

Friday, 5/29 – Partly Sunny; Afternoon/Evening Showers & Storms – High 86˚ / Friday Night – Sct’d Showers & Storms – Low 67˚

The way we are situated in regards to atmospheric flow is allowing for these recurrences of scattered showers and storms every day. Luckily, no severe threats are expected for the remainder of the week, and these pop-up storms do not look like they will produce any extreme rainfall.

Day 1-3 QPF

Quantitative Precipitation Forecast, Valid 7 PM Tuesday – 7 PM Friday, via NOAA

They’re mainly just pesky, as we will have the chance for rain every day. And these humidity values aren’t doing a thing for my hair…

giphy (33)

via giphy.com

So on Friday… I think you can forecast this one. Temperatures look like they may be a degree or so warmer on Friday, with showers and storms picking up late afternoon, and continuing into the overnight hours. Storm chances will unfortunately pick up this weekend, so keep your umbrella handy, because you’ll definitely be needing it this week.

As always, stay in touch with @WxOrNotBG , @wkuCHAOS, and @WarrenCountyWx for the latest real-time weather info. Have a great day!