Eyes Are On Hurricane Ian

It goes without saying, but with a quiet weather pattern dominating here locally, all eyes are on Hurricane Ian. Strengthening to a border-line Category 5 overnight, with sustained winds of 155 mph, southwest Florida is expected to see devastating impacts later today into tonight.

Hurricane Ian via CIRA

Calm Here At Home

Here in the WABBLES vicinity, it’s been a far different story. We’ve basked under sunny skies, along with below-normal temps and comfortable humidity. Check out the dewpoints as of 7:50am this morning…low to mid 40s?! YES, PLEASE!

via KY Mesonet

It’s been a glorious week, and that will continue through the remainder of the work week.

It hasn’t all been fun & games, however. The combo of low humidity & strong winds is ripe for fire dangers. We experienced that yesterday, when a fire broke out across cropland on the north side of Franklin in Simpson Co:

Northerly winds will be present again today, helping suppress highs to the mid/upper 60s, before increasing to the low/mid 70s Thursday into Friday.

The fire danger will remain intact through this time. Otherwise, we’ll be quiet, under rays of sunshine. With this tranquil outlook, it’s no wonder so many eyes are on Hurricane Ian.

Will Ian Impact Us?

The most common question we’ve received this week, and it’s not even close, is if Hurricane Ian will impact us here in WABBLES. The short answer is yes, however, those impacts are expected to be small.

Here’s a look at the latest trek Ian is expected to take from the National Hurricane Center:

After marching northeast over the Florida Peninsula, it’s expected to churn out into the Atlantic for a brief spell, before returning to make landfall around Georgia/South Carolina as a Tropical Storm on Friday. It then bows northwest, setting up shop over the Appalachians this weekend as a Post-Tropical Depression.

This is when we could see sensible weather changes locally. increased cloud cover is the best bet, with isolated/widely-scattered showers impacting us as well. Nothing to be overly-concerned about. With all of this being said, the track will most likely alter to some degree, as is typical with these tropical systems. My eyes are on Hurricane Ian, and will continue to be until it gets out of here.

What we experience here locally will be a far cry from what our friends in Florida are expecting. The winds will be one thing, but the major concern will be flooding and storm surge, which typically accounts for 80-85%+ of lives lost in these events. With the landscape offshore not doing any favors, some coastal towns could see surges in excess of 12-16′! That’s INSANE!

Tranquil Pattern Follows

After Ian jolts eastward by the end of the weekend, it appears another period of subtle weather follows for us here across the Commonwealth. More sunshine, along with highs holding in the mid 70s.

We don’t really see any significant rain chances in sight until the end of the first full week in October. Not exactly what we want to see, considering how dry we’ve been over the past few weeks.

That’ll do it for this forecast, folks. Soak in some vitamin D, and keep those in the path of Ian in your thoughts and prayers. It’s going to be a very rough ride down there. As always, stay up with the latest local weather info right here: @wxornotBG.