Strong Thunderstorm Chances Tonight

Good morning and happy Monday to all of you across the region! I hope everyone had a phenomenal weekend and are ready for the week ahead. As far as weather goes, we are looking at an active first half of the week.

Here’s to a Good Night’s Sleep with some Thunder (Giphy)


Today will start off rather uneventfully with mostly sunny skies and hot temps. Highs will top out today around 90 with heat indexes likely being higher. As we go into the hottest part of the day we will see the usual pop up storms around the area.

Model Future Radar this Afternoon (Pivotal Weather)

As we go into the overnight timeframe, a cold front off in the distance will help spark additional clusters of storms that will eventually move through the region. This currently looks like we could have a few weakening clusters which could remain in the region until daybreak Tuesday.

Model Future Radar Overnight (Pivotal Weather)

The SPC has noted the low-end potential for some of these clusters to be strong-severe with a Marginal Risk (Level 1/5) for severe weather across parts of WABBLES. Currently, the only risk looks to be for isolated pockets of damaging wind gusts.

SPC Day 1 Convective Outlook

These storms will likely be weakening, if not already weakened, by time it gets to us thanks to the fact we will be dealing with limited instability. The base of CAPE/instability is largely drawn to the amount of heat and moisture within the atmosphere. When the sun goes down, the Earth loses its main supply of heat which helps keep instability low. This will be the case tonight.

Overall, this does not look like something to be overly concerned with. I would keep your phones on with the ringer up since this is an overnight event in case a warning is issued, but the risk is very low.

That concludes today’s blog post folks! I hope everyone has a great day and can stay away from any storms. As always I will link our social media sites down below and I encourage you all to visit them for more up to date information.

Have a blessed day.

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