Active Pattern Takes Over

Hope you’ve enjoyed the past few days of relentless sunshine, heat and humidity, folks. Things will be changing in the near future, as an active pattern takes over. Strong storm chances will be possible every day, as numerous disturbances flow in from the west.

via giphy

HOT Start

A combination of that big ball of fire in the sky + southwesterly flow will pump thermometers to the low 90s this afternoon. We’ll be warm and soupy through the morning, before cloud debris begins to filter in from the ongoing system to our west:

Radar valid 6:50AM

Combine this with dewpoints in the 70s, it’ll be rather sultry in the Great Outdoors before the storm threat arrives.

Strong/Severe Storms

Our atmosphere is jammed packed with moisture, with other ingredients also present, making for a ripe storm development recipe. With the arrival of peak heating from lunchtime on, scattered strong/severe storms are expected to develop.

Thursday Severe Weather Outlook via SPC

This isn’t just for today. In all honesty…it appears to stick around for the foreseeable future. Scattered storm chances will remain in the forecast each and every day of the remaining week, continuing into next week as well. The latest NAM 3km displays this…valid from 7am this morning through 1pm Saturday afternoon:

NAM 3km valid 7am Thursday – 1pm Saturday

As the active pattern takes over, it’s won’t be an all-out monsoon washout. It’ll be multiple rounds of scattered showers and storms. Often in these setups, some locations may get in on very little amounts of the wet stuff, while others receive A LOT.

Primary Concerns

With the given environment, any storm that fires up during this time will have the opportunity to become strong/severe. Damaging winds will be our primary concern, with training cells also presenting an equalized threat for flash flooding.

IYKYK – Don’t become a @joeimel Tweet

We’ve received copious amounts of rain over the past few weeks (some of us, that is). With saturated grounds, it won’t take much for runoff to become apparent. Utilize caution if you get caught traveling in the blinding rains, and remember, if you come across a water-covered roadway, Turn Around, Don’t Drown.

That’s it for this morning. As always, we’ll be keeping you up to date with the latest on our twitter feed @WxornotBG. Make sure you come along for the ride as this active pattern takes over.