Typical Summer Pattern in Store

Good Monday everyone and a Happy Fourth of July! On this, the 246th birthday of our great nation, we have a wonderful and typical summer day in store for us.

American GIF by MOODMAN
The best way to celebrate the 4th (Giphy)

4th of July

When I talk about a typical summer day, there are a few things that go into that. The first and most important is heat and humidity, followed by random pop up thunderstorm chances. With highs today expected to reach the mid 90s and dew points in the low 70s we have the heat and humidity checked off of the list.

Model Highs for Today (Pivotal Weather)

We will need to talk about heat safety again with conditions like this as heat indexes will likely hit 100. Please remember to stay well hydrated and rested while out celebrating today and tonight. Fireworks and food aren’t any fun when you are passing out from a heat-related illness.

Heat Safety
NWS Heat Safety Graphic

Other than the heat, we will need to be watching out for some isolated pop up showers and thunderstorms today. These certainly are not something that should wash out plans or firework shows. However, if you do find yourself underneath one of these brief storms, watch out for very heavy rain and lightning.

Model Future Radar Today (Pivotal Weather)

Tuesday – Friday

The forecast for the rest of the week can really be broken down pretty easily. There will be plenty of heat and humidity along with consistent pop up storm chances throughout the hottest parts of the day. That is really about it and is the typical summer forecast for the region.

Thats It Stephen Colbert GIF by The Late Show With Stephen Colbert

None of these storms will be associated with a larger system or frontal passage, in fact, we will be under high pressure all week. Now, we always talk about high pressure keeping storms and such away, so why not this time?

WPC Frontal Chart this Week

The reason we are seeing storms like this can really be boiled down to the amount of heat and humidity we have in the area. We have such an abundance of moisture and heat in the atmosphere, it is very easy for clouds to grow upwards and become storms. During the evening and nighttime when the heat is reduced, these storms will lose their fuel and die off.

One way to measure how likely these storms are and to see how much moisture is in the air is to look at what we call precipitable water. The higher the value, generally over 1.5-2″ the more likely for rain and storms to pop up. This week, we will easily see values within that range.

Model PWATS on Tuesday (Pivotal Weather)

So, the bottom line for this week is that isolated rain/storm chances will be present every day and highs will be in the mid-upper 90s.

That will be all for this blog post my friends! Remember to get out there and have fun with friends and family, but also be safe and responsible. As always, I will include our social media sites linked below where you can find more frequent weather updates.

Have a blessed day.