Bowling Green Weather – Sunday Update

Bowling Green Weather / Real-time Radar:

Today 7/27– Hot / Chance of Thunderstorms – High 95° / Tonight – Thunderstorms Possible– Low 66°

6am 75º – 9am 84º – 12pm 92º – 3pm 95º – 6pm 90º

Severe Thunderstorms Possible

Today will be a mixed bag of weather as we have a fairly dynamic system moving into the area. Temperatures are expected to climb into the mid 90s by mid afternoon with heat indices 100+, supported by dewpoint values in the low 70s. Non-thunderstorm winds will be gusty throughout the day as well.

Last night we saw some beneficial rain as thunderstorms from our northwest entered the area and dissipated overnight. We will have more interesting weather in our area today as with thunderstorms expected. Here’s our surface map for 1pm:

Courtesy NOAA WPC

Severe thunderstorm parameters are in place across the Ohio Valley today with the best chances being in the afternoon and evening hours during peak instability. As you can see above, a cold front in association with the area of low pressure over the Great Lakes region will be a focal point for storm development.

We will have plenty of instability to fuel these storms, as well as good wind shear to maintain their lifecycles. Our primary threats for severe weather today will be damaging wind gusts, hail, frequent lightning and heavy downpours. An isolated tornado cannot be ruled out due to the sheared atmospheric environment. Take a look at NAM suggested CAPE and Bulk Shear values, valid for 4pm:

Courtesy Twister Data

As mentioned earlier, all ingredients for thunderstorm development are in place. Exactly when and where development occurs will only be realized with time. Atmospheric conditions will be monitored closely today. Here is the current Convective Outlook issued by the SPC:

Convective Outlook – Courtesy NOAA SPC

Geographically speaking, the better chance for severe weather remains to our northeast where higher values of wind shear are present. Regardless, stay weather aware and have available sources to watches and warnings issued by the SPC and the NWS in Louisville as any thunderstorms we experience will have plenty opportunity to become severe.

Once the cold front passes through the area, lingering showers and thunderstorms will diminish in coverage and our atmosphere will become more stable. Expect lows in the upper 60s overnight.

Monday 7/28– Partly Cloudy– High 82° / Monday Night – Calm and Quiet – Low 57°

The start of the work week will bring a huge improvement to our weather as the cold front bringing thunderstorms on Sunday will have cleared the region to our south. Northwesterly winds, courtesy of high pressure building in from Canada, will keep us cooler and drier for Monday. Check out this surface map for 7am Monday:

Courtesy NOAA WPC

Temperatures will climb into the low 80s with much less humidity to deal with as well. Very comfortable and calm weather for Bowling Green starts and should stick around for a bit, plenty of good news to be happy about. Lows overnight could fall into the upper 50s.


Tuesday 7/29– Mostly Sunny– High 79° / Tuesday Night – Calm and Quiet – Low 58°

Tuesday’s weather will be fair and quiet all day long. High pressure will continue to dominate the weather as a large trough axis is allowing temperatures to fall well below average. Highs in the upper 70s are expected across the area and mostly sunny skies. Absolutely great weather, courtesy of a very amplified trough; get out and enjoy it. Check out 300mb heights and winds for Tuesday at 4pm:

Courtesy Twister Data

For those who may not know, that graphic above is the definition of awesome weather for Bowling Green. Tuesday night looking calm and quiet once again with lows in the upper 50s.

That sums it up for now, folks. Be sure to stay up to date with all your real time weather info @WxOrNotBG and @WarrenCountyWX on Twitter. Have a great Sunday and keep and eye on the weather!