Rinse and Repeat Summer Forecast

Good morning! I hope everyone’s 4th of July was wonderful and filled with plenty of good food, friends/family, and fireworks. As for the weather, we’re looking at the same rinse and repeat summer forecast.


Guess What? Scattered Storms

Fireworks likely will continue to be a thing the next couple of days in your local neighborhood, but natural fireworks are possible either way.

All of us to this forecast: h/t giphy.com
All of us to this forecast:
h/t giphy.com

During the peak heating of the afternoon, expect scattered storms to again begin firing up across the region. Whether you get them, or some friends two counties over does is beyond me. However, that is the kind of thing we will be dealing with.

h/t giphy.com
h/t giphy.com

Additionally, a weakening convective system over Missouri may make its way eastward today and cause some organized activity. I don’t foresee it being a major issue, though.

The outflow from this weakening system may end up making it this far east and could help organize storms. h/t Radarscope
The outflow from this weakening system may end up making it this far east and could help organize storms. h/t Radarscope

As with every storm chance lately, the primary threats are heavy rain, lightning, and gusty winds. Outside of storms, highs should be in the upper 80s and lower 90s.


I’m Running out of Clever Subheadings Here

Okay, look: this pattern we have been in has been very similar to climatological norms. 89ºF is our normal high, and we have been near that. Scattered afternoon storms are a summertime staple, and we’ve had that.

h/t giphy.com
h/t giphy.com

But, I am pretty shocked at how consistent this has been as of late. We have not seen a major switch up as of yet, and that is surprising. It’s not gotten unbearably hot, and it hasn’t cooled down.

h/t giphy.com
h/t giphy.com

We’re just kinda in this Groundhog Day of weather patterns. And that should continue.

(Giphy)
(Giphy)

Saturday and Sunday look the same. Models don’t seem to have a great handle on it, and that is okay. They haven’t had a great handle on it as of late.

Tomorrow is looking warm, with storm chances throughout the day, but focused during the afternoon. A weak front will be moving through the region and will likely tap into the instability and produce scattered to widespread storms.

The front slowly sagging southward should help to fire up ye old storms. h/t WPC
The front slowly sagging southward should help to fire up ye old storms. h/t WPC

Sunday, the front will have pushed through, but we are still looking at some isolated storm chances even then. It just doesn’t end at this point.

h/t giphy.com
h/t giphy.com

Heavy rain, lightning, etc. are the primary threats with this activity. You know the drill.

Highs are expected to be in the upper 80s and lower 90s both days. Our only hope of a major shift in the pattern is the possibility of a significant warm up next week, with a strong high pressure building over the plains.

Will we ever see the storm chances end? Maybe not as a high pressure system builds to the west. h/t COD Weather
Will we ever see the storm chances end? Maybe not as a high pressure system builds to the west. h/t COD Weather

Even then, that will likely end up giving us daily storm chances. However, that’ll likely increase the heat we see. We’ll be watching that develop over the coming days!


Well, that is all I have folks! Have a wonderful day, and be sure to follow @wxornotBG on Facebook and Twitter for the latest forecast information.

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