Break from the Rain Before Weekend Storms and Flooding

Howdy folks, enjoy today’s much-deserved break from the rain before the potential for storms and flooding arrives later tonight. Severe storms are even possible for Saturday, but at least our temperatures will stay mild.

Break from rain, whoop whoop! (via tenor)
Break from the rain, whoop whoop! (via tenor)

Morning Sunshine Heralds Quiet Day

What is that in the forecast, sunshine? h/t tenor
“Walking outside this morning.” (via tenor)

Bask in this morning’s sunshine, but grab a coat as we will start in the day off in the chilly mid 30’s. Afternoon high temperatures will reach the pleasant mid 50’s under increasing clouds that will eventually turn to evening rain showers.

HRRR model via pivotalwx
HRRR model via pivotalwx

Expect the rain showers to begin in the 5-8 pm time range and continue…

Soggy Tomorrow

via tenor
“Friday in a gif” (via tenor)

Rounds of showers will be possible throughout both the day and night tomorrow as temperatures stay steady in the upper 40’s. With the ground completely saturated, flooding will continue to be an issue around the region’s creeks and rivers.

What not to do on flooded roads: (via tenor)
What not to do on flooded roads: (via tenor)

Severe Storms Possible Saturday

With a strong low pressure system passing to our northwest and a fast jet steam overhead, Saturday has an increasing potential for severe storms. The Storm Prediction Center has placed us in an enhanced risk (3/5) for damaging winds, large hail, and tornadoes for Saturday.

NAM via pivotalwx
NAM Saturday morning via pivotalwx

A thick line or cluster of thunderstorms is likely to form along the warm front early Saturday morning (3-6 am) and push through our region from the south. These storms will bring more heavy rain than severe weather, so flash flooding and getting totally soaked will be our greatest concern until mid-morning.

via NWS Louisville
Flooding risk continues during the excitement of Saturday’s severe weather. via NWS Louisville

Come Saturday afternoon, the severe weather potential will really ramp up as supercell thunderstorms may form and track northeastward across our region. The full severe gauntlet of wind, hail, and tornadoes outline the potential impacts of these storms. (Silver lining–temperatures in the 60’s.)

Saturday evening NAM via pivotalwx
NAM Saturday evening via pivotalwx

By that evening, the cold front will likely form a line of storms that could produce damaging winds and brief, isolated tornadoes. Overall, Saturday’s severe event is looking eerily similar to the severe event of Saturday, Feb. 24, 2018 in which a tornado that formed in Logan County claimed one life.

Me...watching the Friday storm threat... h/t
We are also looking forward to gusty winds on Sunday and dry conditions for early next week. (via tenor)

We will keep watching this event carefully so we can keep you informed. Enjoy the quiet weather today and follow @wxornotBG for the latest updates.