It’s a warm start in the 60s for south central Kentucky this morning, thanks to strong winds pouring in out of the south. We’re already experiencing gusts exceeding 25 mph. This will take temps to the mid/upper 60s by early afternoon.
Roller Coaster Ride Initiated
Southerly winds will continue to increase through morning, with gusts anticipated to top out ~40 mph. As a reminder, the entire region is under a WIND ADVISORY through midnight Sunday.
Any loose objects on your lawn will succumb to this impressive wind field. Another reminder to tie down/secure trash cans, lawn chairs, the family pet…maybe your insane friend??
We should stay dry for most of the morning, before scattered rain showers arrive by lunchtime.
HRRR Simulated Radar Valid 12pm Saturday
This will be in response to a powerful cold front approaching from the west. As this occurs, deep moisture from the Gulf will continue to be transported into our area by southerly winds.
Our atmosphere will become primed for the possibility of strong/severe storms, with the arrival and eventual passing of the front between ~2pm-5pm this afternoon.
HRRR Simulated Radar 1pm – 10pm Saturday
Threats and Concerns
If you’ve been living under a rock, here’s a hint to what our primary concern is…WIND. Even outside of thunderstorms, gusts are anticipated to hit 45+ mph. Also, with storms, there’s that thing called lightning. Can’t forget that.
As the line of showers/storms moves through, our atmosphere may allow storms to create severe winds. Wind speeds become severe once they reach or exceed 58 mph.
Secondary threats will be the the potential for an isolated large hail occurrence or brief, isolated tornado spin up.
I’m not really concerned about either taking place, however, it is a non-zero threat, and must be mentioned:
Behind the front, winds will remain rampant, but they’ll quickly shift from southerly to northwesterly.
This will create what’s known as “cold air advection.” Basically, a much colder airmass is going to infiltrate south central Kentucky from the northwest once the front passes.
HRRR Temperatures 12pm – 10pm Saturday
As illustrated above, the HRRR pegs a high temperature of 67˚ at 3pm, with readings in the 40s by 7pm…
The mercury will bottom out in the low 30s early Sunday, and only recover to the low/mid 40s by mid afternoon.
Thanksgiving week continues to look quiet. 50s for highs Monday into Tuesday, back into the 40s under sunny skies Wednesday into Thanksgiving.
With the threat of severe weather on the horizon, make sure you heed any warnings. This blog serves as a catalyst to our real-time weather feed —> @wxornotBG. You can find us there for frequently updated weather info throughout the day. Stay safe.