Rainy Weather Incoming!

Today – Afternoon Storms – High 85° / Tonight – Showers Likely – Low 65°

A strong low pressure system and associated cold front will be closing in on the region this afternoon. This will lead to strong southerly flow at the surface. Wind speeds could be between 15 to 20 mph this afternoon.

WPC Forecast Frontal Positions - This Afternoon - NOAA WPC
WPC Forecast Frontal Positions – This Afternoon – NOAA WPC

This will lead to temperatures warming to around 85°. Marginal instability may develop ahead of the front, leading to a chance of isolated strong to severe storms this afternoon. As of now, isolated damaging wind is the main threat. The Storm Prediction Center has placed western parts of our region in a “marginal” risk of severe weather. Think of this as a level 1 out of 5 threat.

Severe Weather Outlook - Valid Today - NOAA SPC
Severe Weather Outlook – Valid Today – NOAA SPC

The main time of concern for severe weather will be as a line of storms moves through the region late this afternoon and into the evening hours. The HRRR estimates the time of arrival to be between 6 and 10 PM.

HRRR Simulated Radar - Valid Today - pivotalweather.com
HRRR Simulated Radar – Valid Today – pivotalweather.com

Showers will continue overnight as lows drop to around 65°. The Weather Prediction Center has placed our region in a “slight” risk of flash flooding tonight. Think of this as a level 2 out of 4 threat.

Flash Flooding Outlook - Valid Tonight - NOAA WPC
Flash Flooding Outlook – Valid Tonight – NOAA WPC

Sunday – Rainy – High 74° / Sun Night – Rainy – Low 67°

Rain will continue well into Sunday. Expect the rain on Sunday to pretty much be an all day affair. The Weather Prediction Center has placed our region in a marginal risk of flash flooding. Think of this as a level 1 out of 4 threat. The rain and clouds will limit highs to the mid 70s.

Flash Flooding Outlook - Valid Sunday - NOAA WPC
Flash Flooding Outlook – Valid Sunday – NOAA WPC

Rain will continue overnight as lows drop back into the mid to upper 60s across the region.

Monday – Isolated AM Showers – High 77° / Mon Night – Isolated Showers – Low 66°

The rain may finally come to an end on Monday morning. Some isolated showers will remain possible as the remnants of Hurricane Nate move out of the region. Afternoon highs will be around 77°. The afternoon should actually be pretty nice!

h/t giphy.com
h/t giphy.com

Isolated showers will begin to form once again, this time ahead of another low pressure system to the west. Lows will drop back into the mid 60s once again. We could be looking at 2-4″ of rain across the region before all is said and done.

3 Day Forecast Rainfall Amounts - NOAA WPC
3 Day Forecast Rainfall Amounts – NOAA WPC

That should wrap up this forecast. Be sure to follow @wxornotBG and @WKUweather for the latest Bowling Green weather information. Have a great day!

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