Vanilla Ice Would Say It’s “Hot, Hot, Rainy”

Today – Mostly Cloudy & Isolated Showers – High 89° / Tonight – Isolated Showers – Low 76°

We’re waking up to some patchy fog once again this morning. The fog should dissipate shortly after 8 AM.

White Squirrel Weather - NestCam
White Squirrel Weather – NestCam

A hot day is on tap for the region as upper level ridging has moved into the region. This will lead to low level southwest flow. Temperatures should rise to almost 90°. However, abundant moisture will make it feel more like 95°-100°.

h/t giphy.com
h/t giphy.com

A hot, humid air mass in place, along with broad scale lifting, will lead to isolated to scattered showers and storms generally in the afternoon. The best chance of rain looks to be after noon and into the evening hours. Ignore the early frames of the HRRR below, but it gives a good idea of showers in the afternoon.

HRRR Model Simulated Radar - Valid Today - weatherbell.com
HRRR Model Simulated Radar – Valid Today – weatherbell.com

Isolated showers may continue into the overnight. Lows will drop to only 76°, making for another muggy night.

Thursday – Afternoon Storms Likely – High 89° / Thur Night – Isolated Storms – Low 73°

A cold front should move through the region on Thursday. This will allow for better lifting, leading to a better chance of widespread showers and thunderstorms.

WPC Forecast Frontal Positions - Valid Thursday AM - NOAA WPC
WPC Forecast Frontal Positions – Valid Thursday AM – NOAA WPC

The atmosphere, still categorized as hot and humid, should produce a fair amount of instability. Couple that with more support aloft, an organized storm threat shapes up. Isolated strong to severe storms will be possible with gusty winds being the main concern.

NAM Model Forecast Instability - Valid Thursday Afternoon - College of DuPage
NAM Model Forecast Instability – Valid Thursday Afternoon – College of DuPage

As of now, the Storm Prediction Center has placed parts of our region in a “marginal” risk of severe weather. Think of this as a level 1 out 5 risk.

Severe Weather Outlook - Valid Thursday - NOAA SPC
Severe Weather Outlook – Valid Thursday – NOAA SPC

Temperatures on Thursday will once again be hot ahead of the front. Strong southwest winds will continue to pool moisture ahead of the front, leading to heat index temperatures of 97°-100+°. After school sports programs will need to monitor athletes and provide hydration when possible.

NAM Model Forecast Precipitable Water - Valid Thursday Afternoon - College of DuPage
NAM Model Forecast Precipitable Water – Valid Thursday Afternoon – College of DuPage

A secondary wave of thunderstorms will be possible in the overnight hours, especially between 9 PM and 3 AM. No severe weather is expected with this round as lows drop to around 73°.

Friday – Partly Cloudy – High 85° / Fri Night – Partly Cloudy – Low 65°

High pressure should begin to settle into the region on Friday. This will lead to better, drier conditions across the area.

GFS Model Forecast Temp/Wind/Pressure - Valid Friday Afternoon - College of DuPage
GFS Model Forecast Temp/Wind/Pressure – Valid Friday Afternoon – College of DuPage

Northwest flow around an area of surface ridging should lead to somewhat cooler temperatures as well. Partly cloudy skies and 85°; what more could you ask for on a Fri-yay?

h/t giphy.com
h/t giphy.com

Partly cloudy skies should continue overnight. Lows will drop back to around 65°

That should wrap up this forecast. Be sure to follow @wxornotBG and @WKUweather for the latest Bowling Green weather information! Have a great Hump Day!

h/t giphy.com
h/t giphy.com