Active Weather to Continue Across the Region

wxornotBG 4/18/17: Shower & storm chances continue today, with an active pattern set to follow all the way through the upcoming weekend.

Posted by Landon Hampton on martes, 18 de abril de 2017


Discussion

If you like active weather, then you have come to the right week. This week is looking to have about as active a pattern as we had a couple weeks ago, only without the every-other-day severe weather chances. I’m sort of happy about that, because it makes my life just a bit simpler. However, that level of simplicity really doesn’t get high this week. We have a couple of tougher forecasts on the way, but that is okay. I plan to try and nail them down!

h/t giphy.com

Today, we’re starting off with plenty of clouds and relatively warm temps. Generally, most of the state is sitting in the 60s thanks to those clouds, as they locked us into warmer temps all night last night.

The nice and new GOES-16 satellite is showing the clouds across our region. *Note: this is preliminary and non-operational data*
h/t COD Weather

So, as we progress through the day, expect the thick clouds to gradually move northward and give way to partly to mostly clouds skies across the region. Winds look to shift from easterly to southerly, pumping in some warmer temps for this afternoon. As a weak atmospheric disturbance approaches, this should fire off some scattered showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon hours.

The HRRR shows the potential for storms this afternoon. h/t pivotalweather.com

These don’t look to be severe, but any storm can produce heavy rain and lightning, so be aware of that!

I just thought this was cool. h/t giphy.com

Looking ahead to tomorrow, the day looks relatively calm as a whole. Temps look to warm into the lower 80s during the afternoon, and this might bring about some isolated thunderstorm activity during the afternoon, but nothing too crazy is expected. Today looks to have better storm chances than tomorrow does.

*My reaction to having one day without widespread storm chances this week*
h/t giphy.com

On Thursday, a stronger system moves our way. A disturbance and associated surface low will be moving into the Great Lakes region, dragging a cold front into the region by Thursday evening. Ahead of this, winds will be flowing from the southwest under partly cloudy skies, and they’ll be strong too. This will warm things up into the mid 80s.

The NAM has breezy southwesterly flow, leading to a nice warm up in temperatures Thursday. h/t pivotalweather.com

By Thursday evening, we will have plenty of instability built up in the atmosphere for a nice batch of thunderstorms to move into the region. These will be along the cold front, and will likely bring with them heavy rain and lightning as their main threats. There is an isolated chance for a strong wind gust or two, but that isn’t the main threat.

The NAM is showing the thunderstorms move into the region by Thursday evening. h/t pivotalweather.com

Overall, just an active week is on tap across the region. Also: watch out for Saturday. It isn’t set in stone, but that may be our next severe weather maker.


Forecast Summary

Today: Partly to mostly cloudy, with scattered thunderstorms this afternoon. Highs around 76°F. Overnight, look for partly cloudy skies, with lows around 63°F.

  • Bus stop: ☁️  61°F
  • Lunch hour: 🌤/⛅️  70°F
  • School is out: ⛅️/⛈  76°F
  • Evening time: ⛅️/⛈  73°F

Tomorrow: Partly cloudy skies, with an isolated storm possible in the afternoon. Highs around 81°F. Overnight, look for partly cloudy skies, with lows around 64°F.

  • Bus stop: 🌤  63°F
  • Lunch hour: 🌤  72°F
  • School is out: 🌤/iso’t ⛈  81°F
  • Evening time: 🌤 /iso’t ⛈  78°F

Thursday: Partly cloudy, and breezy, with evening thunderstorms likely. Highs around 85°F. Overnight, look for thunderstorms early, and then partly cloudy skies. Lows around 57°F.

  • Bus stop: 🌤  65°F
  • Lunch hour: 🌤  76°F
  • School is out: 🌤  85°F
  • Evening time: ⛈  80°F

Well, that’s all I got for ya! Make sure to follow @wxornotBG on Twitter and like Landon Hampton on Facebook for the latest weather information. Have an awesome day, folks!

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