Yep, warm and unseasonal is pretty much all that describes the weather around here yesterday and we’re not done with it quite yet.
Today: Warm weather continues with mostly sunny skies for most of the day, giving way to the potential of severe thunderstorms in the late afternoon and evening. Highs will be very near the 80º mark, which would be an all-time high for the month of February. After the storms move through, the overnight low will fall into the mid-40s.
- Bus stop: 🌤 64°F
- Lunch hour: 🌤 73°F
- School is out: 🌥 79°F
- Evening time: ⛈ 68°F
Tomorrow: Skies will clear out after tonight’s thunderstorms with a high near 50ºF. Skies remain mostly clear at night with a low near 30ºF.
- Wake up: 🌤 49°F
- Lunch hour: ☀️ 57°F
- Evening time: 🌕 54°F
Sunday: Mostly sunny skies to start the day with clouds slowly on the increase. High around 51ºF. Clouds continuing to increase with a chance of showers late at night. Low of around 40ºF.
- Wake up: ☀️ 35°F
- Lunch hour: 🌥 49°F
- Evening time: ☁️ 48°F
Obviously, the main focus of the forecast today is the threat of severe weather this evening into tonight, but first, the warm temperatures.
Out ahead of this strong storm system, we’re in what’s called the warm sector. Essentially, it’s an area where southern and southwesterly winds in the wake of a warm front that basically pumps in warm and moist air that gives fuel for strong and severe thunderstorms.
That creates instability in the atmosphere, but that’s not the only part of the equation, you also need wind energy and boy, will we have it.
All of this has led the Storm Prediction Center to place our area in a slight risk (essentially a 2 on a 0-5 scale) for severe weather for the day on Friday with an enhanced risk (3 out of 5) just north of our area where there are slightly better dynamics.
This will not a huge outbreak of severe weather by any stretch of the imagination, however a few severe storms may occur. The main threats will be localized damaging wind gusts, a chance at a bit of large hail and, while it’s unlikely, we can never rule out the possibility of an isolated spin-up tornado.
As for timing, the models are trying to spawn a broken line of storms out to the west around noon CT and slowly moving them into our area as they merge into a more solid line through the night, impacting our area between 6 and midnight.
After the cold front passes through, temperatures plunge back to right around seasonal levels for Saturday and slightly below.
Temperatures will be downright wintry tomorrow night thanks to clear skies allowing the heat to escape, temperatures bottoming out around the 30ºF mark, less than 36 hours after highs approaching 80ºF!
Temperatures will again rebound to 50ºF once again for the day on Sunday as clouds increase ahead of our next weathermaker.
Today’s Key Points
- Today’s high approaches the 80º mark, which would set an all-time February record.
- Strong to severe thunderstorms possible tonight, damaging winds the main threats.
- Temperatures cool off for the day on Saturday, with seasonal highs around 50º.
- Carbon copy for Sunday after a chilly Saturday night.
That just about does it for me! Thanks for checking into WxOrNotBG this morning, and be sure to follow @WxOrNotBG and @WKUweather on Twitter and like Landon Hampton on Facebook for the latest Bowling Green Weather information. I’ll have an update on our severe weather chances early this afternoon, so stay tuned for that and I hope you have a terrific Friday!