Warm and Stormy Start to Work Week

Real Time Radar:

Yesterday’s Weather

So, I’m not going to lie, yesterday’s weather was pretty dang awesome. We saw mostly sunny skies and southerly winds for the most of the day. This led to warmer than average temperatures as highs topped out in the upper 50s and low 60s across the region. The high in Bowling Green was 59°, recorded at 3:24 PM. The low temperature of 42° was recorded at 11:59 PM. As of 5:55 AM, temperatures across the region are in the low 40s.

Forecast Summary:

Today: Showers likely around noon. Highs will be around 62°. Southerly wind around 5-10 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph possible. Showers and thunderstorms possible overnight with lows around 58°.

  • Waking Up: 🌥 44°
  • Lunch Time: 🌥/🌧 55°
  • School’s Out: ☁️/🌧 62°
  • Evening: ☁️/🌧 59°

Tuesday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms. A few storms may be severe. Southerly winds of 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 35 mph possible. Highs will be around 70°. Storms may continue overnight with lows around 47°

  • Waking Up: 🌧/⛈ 60°
  • Lunch Time: ☁️/🌧 66°
  • School’s Out: ☁️/🌧 70°
  • Evening: 🌧/⛈ 64°

Wednesday: AM showers possible. Highs will be around 55°. Northerly winds around 5 to 10 mph possible. Temperatures should drop during the afternoon. Isolated showers overnight with lows around 30°.

  • Waking Up: 🌧 50°
  • Lunch Time: ☁️ 55°
  • School’s Out: ☁️ 54°
  • Evening: ☁️/🌧 49°

Forecast Discussion

A fairly complex weather pattern will be in place across the region over the next few days. However, we’re going to break it down real easy with some science.

h/t giphy.com
h/t giphy.com

Firstly, some fog is possible this morning as evident on the White Squirrel Weather Webcam, so take the morning commute a little slow.

White Squirrel Weather Cam
White Squirrel Weather Cam

Upper level ridging will move into the region today. This, alongside southerly surface flow will lead to warming temperatures across the region. Afternoon highs will likely reach the low to mid 60s. A batch of rain associated with a warm front will lift north today, leading to showers in the area around the noon hour. Showers and possibly a thunderstorm will persist into the overnight hours as moisture amounts continue to rise.

Surface Pressure/Radar Valid at 6:30 AM - NOAA SPC
Surface Pressure/Radar Valid at 6:30 AM – NOAA SPC

A shortwave trough will begin to move into the region on Tuesday. This will lead to continued rain and thunderstorm chances. Some of these storms may be strong to severe with damaging wind and large hail being the main concerns. However, there is a bit of directional shear in the atmosphere, leading to a low, but nonzero tornado threat. The Storm Prediction Center has placed the region in a “slight” risk of severe weather on Tuesday. Highs may top out around 70°!

Severe Weather Outlook - Valid Tuesday - NOAA SPC
Severe Weather Outlook – Valid Tuesday – NOAA SPC

Thunderstorms may continue overnight as the cold front begins to work into the region. A couple of these storms may also be severe with the aforementioned risks still in play. Temperatures should drop into the upper 40s following frontal passage.

NAM Model Simulated Radar - Valid 6 AM Tuesday To 6 AM Thursday - pivotalweather.com
NAM Model Simulated Radar – Valid 6 AM Tuesday To 6 AM Thursday – pivotalweather.com

Showers may linger into Wednesday morning however, expect conditions to dry out some by midday. Highs should top out in the mid 50s, before dropping into the afternoon. Another disturbance may move through the region during the evening and overnight leading to additional showers possible. Lows overnight will drop into the low 30s.

h/t giphy.com
h/t giphy.com

Key Points

  • It’s Getting Warmer
  • It’s Getting Wetter
  • Some Severe Storms Possible Tomorrow
    • Hail, wind, and small tornado threat
  • Cooler Temperature Wednesday Thru Friday AM

That should wrap up this forecast. Be sure to follow @wxornotBG and @WKUweather for the latest Bowling Green weather information. Also, be sure to Like Landon Hampton on Facebook. Have a great Monday!