Heat Relief From Rain Coming to Bowling Green Weather

Real-time Bowling Green Weather Radar


Yesterday’s Weather

Yesterday’s weather was…eh. We didn’t see as many thunderstorms as I may have expected at the beginning of the day, so the weather didn’t cool off as much as I expected. I busted on the temperature, as I had 92°F forecasted, and the high was 94°F.

Yesterday's climate report. h/t NWS Louisville
Yesterday’s climate report. h/t NWS Louisville

Forecast Summary

Today: Partly cloudy early, with rain/thunderstorms increasing this evening and overnight. Highs around 88°F. Overnight, look for widespread thunderstorms, with heavy rainfall being possible. Lows around 75°F.

  • Wake up: ⛅️/⛈  74°F
  • Lunch hour: 🌥/⛈ 87°F
  • Evening time: 🌧/⛈  83°F

Tomorrow: Widespread rainfall for the most part, with some clearing likely by mid afternoon and evening. Highs around 80°F. Overnight, look for partly cloudy skies, with isolated storms remaining possible. Lows around 72°F.

  • Wake up: 🌧/⛈  75°F
  • Lunch hour: 🌧/⛈  79°F
  • Evening time:🌥/⛈  74°F

Friday: Partly cloudy, with scattered afternoon storms. Highs around 87°F. Overnight, look for scattered storms to remain a possibility, with lows falling to around 73°F.

  • Wake up: ⛅️  73°F
  • Lunch hour: ⛅️/⛈  85°F
  • Evening time:⛅️/⛈  86°F

Discussion

I will admit, this is gonna be a shortened discussion because I am short on time.

h/t giphy.com
h/t giphy.com

The next few days largely look stormy across the region. What looks to happen is a longwave trough looks to establish itself across the eastern US, and a couple of shortwaves look to propagate through it within the next 4-5 days.

The NAM's forecast for 500 mb heights tomorrow. The two shortwaves are denoted by the dashed lines. h/t COD Weather
The NAM’s forecast for 500 mb heights tomorrow. The two shortwaves are denoted by the dashed lines. h/t COD Weather

The first one will impact us this evening and into tomorrow. Today will start off with partly cloudy skies, and isolated storms, but will go downhill from there. The shortwave is looking to interact with the leftover vorticity associated with a weak cut off Gulf Low. This vorticity will have significant amount of moisture with it as well, creating a scenario in which we see a fairly decent amount of rainfall.

The NAM's forecast for precipitable water this evening. h/t COD Weather
The NAM’s forecast for precipitable water this evening. h/t COD Weather
The WPC forecast for precipitation over the next three days. h/t WPC
The WPC forecast for precipitation over the next three days. h/t WPC

Highs today will end up in the upper 80s, and lows tonight will end up in the mid 70s. The rainfall looks to continue into the day on Thursday, with heavy rainfall occurring region wide, and dropping several inches of rainfall. The WPC has us in a Slight Risk for flash flooding, but with PWAT values as high as they look, be on continuous look out for flash flooding issues tonight and tomorrow.

The WPC's outlook for flash flooding. h/t WPC
The WPC’s outlook for flash flooding. h/t WPC

The rain looks to clear out by Thursday evening, and highs only look to barely touch 80°F during the day. Lows overnight will end up in the low to mid 70s. The second shortwave propagating through the longwave trough will begin to approach Friday evening and into the day on Saturday. We may not feel the affects yet on Friday, but I do have isolated storms forming during the evening, with highs in the upper 80s. Lows should drop into the lower 70s.


Extended Outlook

Looking into the extended period, the CPC has above average temperatures and precip for the region.

The CPC's 6-10 day temperature outlook. h/t CPC
The CPC’s 6-10 day temperature outlook. h/t CPC
The CPC's 6-10 day outlook for precipitation. h/t CPC
The CPC’s 6-10 day outlook for precipitation. h/t CPC

Thats all I have for ya! Thanks for checking into WxOrNotBG this morning, and be sure to follow @WxOrNotBG and @WKUweather on Twitter and like Landon Hampton on Facebook for the latest Bowling Green Weather information. Have a great day folks!